FO Research / credit

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All FO Research reports filed under credit.

3 reports

3 reports filed under credit

FO Analysis: The Price of Duration.: cover FO Analysis: The Price of Duration.

Weak data bought duration nothing: a payroll print of 29,000, a soft inflation gauge, and the thirty-year closed Monday at 5.66, a new high, with breakevens flat; the Treasury was offered forty-six billion dollars of long bonds against a six billion door; and high-yield spreads closed through the one level the desk published in August as its growth tell.

1TO2Q · High · the floor is structural | Moderate · the growth path's weight Rates Bonds Fed Analysis 58 min read min
The Door Was Rushed. The Tell Fired.: cover The Door Was Rushed. The Tell Fired.

The desk published its levels before the data, and last week the data answered three of them. Payrolls printed 29,000 and the two-year held the 4.80 line the desk had set as the test of a second rise. The Treasury's buyback door was offered forty-six billion dollars against a six billion limit, the queue the desk measured in August back at twice its size. And high-yield spreads closed through the 3.10 signal the desk published in August as the one number that changes its map. Every call is scored below, including the one the desk got wrong: retiring the queue claim two sessions before the queue returned.

Payrolls printed 29,000 and the two-year held the 4.80 line the desk published. The buyback queue the desk measured in August came back at $46.4bn against a $6bn door. The credit signal published in August fired at 3.24. Three published levels, three answers, scored with the one the desk got wrong. Rates Bonds Brief 17 min read min
What Is a Credit Spread? HY OAS Explained: cover What Is a Credit Spread? HY OAS Explained A credit spread is the extra yield a company pays over the government for the same maturity. High-yield OAS is that number for the below-investment-grade bond market, and it separates a rates problem from an economy problem. The mechanism, the levels and why it stayed quiet until it did not. Bonds Explainer 9 min read min